Entries from August 2008

Can the US Dollar Continue to Rally Even if the US Economy Slows?

Date August 29, 2008

The US dollar has been quietly trended higher since the European trading session.The EUR/USD hit a high of 1.4768 shortly after the London open but ended the US session near its daily lows.Although this strength was also seen against many of the other major currencies, the dollar failed to rally against the Japanese Yen.This weakness [...]

What Drove the US Dollar to a 6 Month High?

Date August 26, 2008

The troubles in the US financial sector continue to be the biggest stories of the day, driving the US dollar to a 6 month high against the Euro. The parallel moves in both the greenback and the Japanese Yen indicate that we are seeing another bout of risk aversion. Yesterday, the story was [...]

Crude Crushes the Dollar

Date August 21, 2008

Here is a quick note on this morning’s price action that I published on GFT’s Research page
Oil prices are above $120 a barrel on geopolitical tensions and fears that Tropical Storm Fay will make landfall for the third time, which is an extremely rare occurrence.
The correlation between crude prices and the US Dollar [...]

US Dollar: The Good News and the Bad News

Date August 21, 2008

The Stories in the Currency Market

US Dollar: The Good News and the Bad News
The last 2 weeks of August is always a painstakingly quiet time in the currency market. European traders are off on their month long holidays while US traders are more worried about taking their kids to college and planning for the Labor [...]

Daily Currency Focus 08.19.08

Date August 19, 2008

Here’s a snippet from my new Daily report on GFT
The Stories in the Currency Market
US Dollar: Is the Rally Over?
After rallying for the past 2 weeks, the US dollar saw its strongest correction against the Euro in almost a month. Producer prices were hotter than expected as the annualized pace of growth hit a 17 [...]