Update: NZD as Leading Indicator for Carry Trades
August 28, 2007
Yesterday, I talked about how there was a strong reversal formation in the New Zealand dollar which could be used as a leading indicator for carry trades (see post and chart). Today, the reversal continues to unfold with the NZD/USD moving back towards its sell zone (1-2 Bollinger Bands).
Keep watching this pair as it could continue to foreshadow moves in the yen crosses. Dow futures are already down sharply before the US equity market open. If the New Zealand dollar manages to break back below 0.7045, expect carry trades to follow suit with USD/JPY tumbling back below 115.
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