According to the minutes from the April Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting, here is the 5 step exit strategy that policymakers prefer at this time:
1) End QE2 in June
2) Stop reinvestment some time this yr
3) Remove the “extended period” language in Q4 or early 2012
4) Raise interest rates
5) Start selling assets in 2012/2013
Nearly all of [...]

Posted in 2009 us dollar forecast, 2011 dollar forecast, Fed rate hike, Federal Reserve 1 Comment »

Saying the U.S. dollar is falling out of bed would almost be an understatement given the recent price action in the greenback. Over the past three months, the dollar lost more than 10 percent of its value against the euro, Swiss Franc and Australian dollar. Since July, every one of the G10 currencies [...]

Posted in 2009 us dollar forecast, 2010 dollar forecast, 2010 eurusd forecast, US Treasuries, dollar rally 2 Comments »

The U.S. dollar fell to a 7 month low against the Japanese Yen this morning following another barrage of weak economic data. Consumer prices fell, foreign inflows decreased and the UMich consumer confidence survey dropped to the lowest level since August 2009. On FX360.com, I talked incessantly in my daily report about how [...]

Posted in 2009 japanese yen, 2009 japanese yen forecast, 2009 us dollar forecast, ECB, Japanese Yen, forex blog, usd/jpy, usd/jpy intervention 7 Comments »

Japan announced a new Prime Minister this morning - Naoto Kan. Hopefully he will have better luck than his 4 predecessors who resigned with only a year or less in service.
Resignations by Prime Ministers can have a significant impact on the country’s currency because its performance reflects investor sentiment. Forex traders typically [...]

Posted in 2009 japanese yen forecast, 2009 us dollar forecast, forex blog, usd/jpy 3 Comments »

I was on Fox Business this afternoon talking about the overstretched positions in the euro and British pound as well as the outlook for the ECB, BoE and Non-farm payrolls report
If the video doesn’t load, watch it here Kathy’s Fox Business Interview
Watch the latest business video at video.foxbusiness.com

Posted in 2009 eurusd forecasts, 2009 gbpusd forecast, 2009 us dollar forecast, dollar forecast, euro, forex blog, non-farm payrolls 1 Comment »