The Reserve Bank of Australia is gearing up to cut interest rates this evening. The market is currently pricing in 32bp of tightening which means that investors expect the central bank to reduce rates by a minimum of 25bp. 50bp is a possibility but given some signs of improvement in Australia’s economy (jobs [...]

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The Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and the Reserve Bank of Australia have monetary policy meetings scheduled this week and some investors expect these central banks to change monetary policy. Here’s what the market is pricing in according to interest rate futures. You can compare them with the Central Bank expectations back in September. [...]

Posted in 2011 british pound forecast, 2011 cad forecast, 2011 dollar forecast, 2011 euro forecast, Bank of England, ECB, FOMC, Fed Rate Cut, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Reserve Bank of Australia, aud/usd, ecb rate cut, ecb rate hike No Comments »

I was on CNBC Squawk Box Australia last night talking about the Australian dollar, China and Japanese Yen with Karen Cho

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The latest economic developments have caused investors to push out their rate expectations for all of the major central banks. In May, the ECB, BoC and RBA were all expected to raise rates before the end of the year and now aside from the ECB no one is expected to tighten. Rate expectations [...]

Posted in 2011 british pound forecast, 2011 cad forecast, 2011 dollar forecast, 2011 euro forecast, Australian Dollar, ECB, aud/usd, australian dollar forecast No Comments »

Last night, the Reserve Bank of Australia left interest rates unchanged at 4.75 percent. Many investors were looking for hawkish comments from the central bank but as suspected, the RBA failed to deliver. Given the recent deterioration in economic data (that we showed in our Australian Data Table), I was a bit surprised by [...]

Posted in Australian Dollar, Reserve Bank of Australia, aud/usd, australian dollar forecast 6 Comments »