With mixed to slightly better than expected U.K. economic data, traders may be scratching their heads about why the British pound has collapsed more than 300 pips this morning. Here are a couple of reasons:
1. Britain’s Prudential announced plans to buy AIG’s Asia operations for $35.5 billion in cash and stock - since this [...]

Posted in 2009 gbpusd forecast, Bank of England, British Pound, forex blog 25 Comments »

Dollar bashing has driven the U.S. dollar to an 11 month low against the Euro and 1 year low against the Australian dollar. If you have caught my interviews on CNBC and Bloomberg, you would know that I have been bearish dollars and bullish Aussies and Euro for the past 2 months. Now [...]

Posted in 2009 eurusd forecasts, 2009 us dollar forecast, Bank of England, British Pound, Gold, dollar record low, eur/usd, forex blog No Comments »

For the past four trading days, the British pound has been stuck in a 200 pip range against the U.S. dollar and a 115 pip range against the Euro. However the bottom of the range in both the GBP/USD and EUR/USD have been broken, leading currency traders to wonder if the larger range will be [...]

Posted in 2009 british pound forecast, Bank of England, British Pound, Forex Technicals, GBPJPY, forex blog, gbpusd 3 Comments »

Here is an update on central bank rate cut expectations:
Eurozone - 25bp rate cut expected on Thursday
U.K. - No rate cuts for the rest of the year, but watch out for comments on Quantitative Easing
Australia - Rates left unchanged last night. 2.50% expected to be the floor

New Zealand - One more rate cut [...]

Posted in Bank of Canada, Bank of England, ECB, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, forex blog No Comments »

Over the past 2 weeks, the British pound has soared more than 8 percent against the U.S. dollar. Like many countries around the world, the U.K. has succumbed to higher gas prices but unlike some other countries, the weakness of the British pound has exacerbated the rise in inflation. Hotter consumer prices helped to [...]

Posted in 2009 british pound forecast, Bank of England, British Pound, Forex Technicals, Mervyn King, forex blog, quantitative easing 3 Comments »