At the end of this month, the Bank of England will add a new member to their Monetary Policy Committee - Ben Broadbent. He will replacing Andrew Sentance who has voted for an interest rate hike since the beginning of the year. Sentance was the most hawkish member of the MPC, having just [...]

Posted in 2011 british pound forecast, Bank of England, Ben Broadbent No Comments »

Over the past 3 weeks, central banks around the world have made a number of comments that have affected rate hike expectations. On Jan 27th, I showed where rate hike expectations were at the time and since then a number of interesting changes have occurred.
First, the market is now pricing in a 25bp rate [...]

Posted in 2009 british pound forecast, 2010 dollar forecast, Australian Dollar, Bank of Canada, Bank of England, British Pound, Canadian Dollar, ECB, Fed rate hike, Federal Reserve, eur/usd 2 Comments »

The Bank of England’s Quarterly Inflation Report is one of the most important pieces of documents released by the central bank. The Inflation Report includes the central bank’s latest growth and inflation forecasts and frequently telegraphs their plans for monetary policy. Although the Monetary Policy Committee has not changed interest rates in nearly [...]

Posted in 2009 gbpusd forecast, 2011 british pound forecast, Bank of England, British Pound 3 Comments »

Since the beginning of the month, the British pound has staged a dramatic rally against the U.S. dollar on the belief that the Bank of England will have to raise interest rates very soon. In slightly more than a month, the GBP/USD has rallied from a low of 1.54 to a high above 1.6250. [...]

Posted in 2011 british pound forecast, Bank of England, British Pound 4 Comments »

With mixed to slightly better than expected U.K. economic data, traders may be scratching their heads about why the British pound has collapsed more than 300 pips this morning. Here are a couple of reasons:
1. Britain’s Prudential announced plans to buy AIG’s Asia operations for $35.5 billion in cash and stock - since this [...]

Posted in 2009 gbpusd forecast, Bank of England, British Pound, forex blog 25 Comments »