Back from Vegas last night and on the Business News Network this afternoon talking about whether a second round of Japanese intervention will be as effective as the first. Click on the image to access the video

Posted in 2009 japanese yen forecast, Bank of Japan, Intervention, Japanese Yen 2 Comments »

This is not the first time in recent history that US interest rates have fallen below Japanese levels. In the past 40 years, this has happened at least 5 times. The most recent time was in 1993.
The following chart illustrates how USD/JPY performs whenever the interest rate spread between the US and Japan [...]

Posted in Bank of Japan, Forex News, Forex Technicals, boj intervention, forex blog, usd/jpy, usd/jpy intervention 6 Comments »

USD/JPY hit a 13 year low of 88.22 today after news that the bailout plan is not going happen before the new year. If you have been following my blog, I called for a move down to a new 13 year low Wednesday morning. At that time, USD/JPY was trading at 92.50-93.00. [...]

Posted in Bank of Japan, Fed Rate Cut, Federal Reserve, Forex News, Forex Technicals, Intervention, boj intervention, forex blog, forex signals, usd/jpy, usd/jpy intervention 5 Comments »

With the global economic downturn in full swing, one of the burning questions on everyone’s minds is who will be the first central bank to take interest rates to zero and how close will everyone else get?
We are in a global easing cycle and the varying aggressiveness of central banks around the world means [...]

Posted in Australian Dollar, Bank of Canada, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Bernanke, BoE rate cut, British Pound, Canadian Dollar, ECB, Fed Rate Cut, Federal Reserve, Forex, Forex News, Japanese Yen, Reserve Bank of Australia, Swiss Franc, USD/CAD, ecb rate cut, forex blog, reserve bank of australia intervention, reserve bank of new zealand, swiss national bank No Comments »

The global unwind continues this morning with US equities, commodities and currencies taking another beating. The US dollar and Japanese Yen continue to outperform with the British pound hitting a fresh 5 year low.
The story is still the same, which is sell first and ask questions later. It is earnings season and [...]

Posted in Bank of Canada, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, BoE rate cut, British Pound, Canadian Dollar, Carry Trades, ECB, Fed Rate Cut, Federal Reserve, Forex News, Forex Podcast, ecb rate cut, eur/usd, forex blog, retail sales 3 Comments »