If the equity market managed to rally despite news that 533k jobs were lost from the US economy last month, then Obama’s pledge to increase spending this weekend and the developments for the Big 3 automakers will only help. Risk appetite appears to be slowly returning to the markets with the low yielding US dollar [...]

Posted in Carry Trades, FOMC, Forex News, Forex Podcast, Forex TV, dollar rally, forex blog, forex book, obama dollar 2 Comments »

Fresh concerns about the global economy have triggered sharp gains in the US dollar and the Japanese yen. Risk aversion continues to seep through the markets as the National Bureau of Economic Research finally admits that the US economy fell into recession in December 2007. The first trading day of the last month in the [...]

Posted in Bernanke, Black Friday, Carry Trades, Fed Rate Cut, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Forex, Forex News, consumer confidence, dollar rally, forex blog No Comments »

I have long said that EUR/JPY is one of my favorite recession trades. With the Eurozone in a recession and the need for the European Central Bank to step up to the plate and lower interest rates, the rate differential between the Euro and Japanese Yen will close and close rapidly. Furthermore, as US [...]

Posted in Carry Trades, EURJPY, Forex News, Forex Technicals, euro, forex blog 2 Comments »

Despite false rallies in the currency market, I have stressed that there is no reason for the liquidation to be over. I warned that the currency and stock market rallies were a mirage rather than a bottom and now, the pessimistic tone of the FOMC minutes has forced another wave of liquidation.
Tuesday’s [...]

Posted in Bernanke, Carry Trades, FOMC Minutes, Fed Rate Cut, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Forex News, US Dollar, USD/CAD, consumer spending, eur/usd, forex blog, oil dollar, usd/jpy, weak dollar earnings 3 Comments »

Despite the turmoil in the US financial markets, foreign demand for US securities remain robust, particularly since the Treasury’s International Capital flow report was for September, the month that Lehman collapsed.
TIC Report Explains Dollar Rally
Demand was particularly strong for US Treasuries and equities but foreigners dumped corporate bonds on the fear of [...]

Posted in Carry Trades, Fed Rate Cut, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Forex, Forex News, US Dollar, dollar rally, eur/usd, euro, forex blog, oil dollar, paulson, paulson dollar No Comments »