The U.S. dollar may be rebounding this morning but I think the gains will be short-lived. August is a terrible month for USD/JPY - the currency pair has fallen TEN out of the last TWELVE Augusts. Although seasonality does not equal a certainty of USD/JPY weakness, it is worth noting that 83 percent [...]

Posted in 2010 dollar forecast, 2010 japanese yen forecast, Forex, dollar forecast, forex blog 5 Comments »

I was on Fox Business this afternoon talking about the overstretched positions in the euro and British pound as well as the outlook for the ECB, BoE and Non-farm payrolls report
If the video doesn’t load, watch it here Kathy’s Fox Business Interview
Watch the latest business video at video.foxbusiness.com

Posted in 2009 eurusd forecasts, 2009 gbpusd forecast, 2009 us dollar forecast, dollar forecast, euro, forex blog, non-farm payrolls 1 Comment »

On Friday, in my Daily Currency focus for FX360.com, I talked about the 3 Big Threats to the US dollar this week. One of them was a bad bank plan. This morning, Dow futures and higher yielding currencies are up sharply on news that Obama’s Administration has prepared a plan to create a [...]

Posted in dollar earnings, dollar forecast, forex blog No Comments »

Concerns about the US economy are growing as the Dow Jones Industrial Average erases all of its year to date gains, taking the US dollar down with it. The rally that we have seen in the first few days of trading will be difficult to sustain with all of the weak economic data that [...]

Posted in Currency forecasts, Fed Rate Cut, Forex News, GDP, dollar forecast, dollar recession, forex blog, non-farm payrolls 4 Comments »

2008 Price Action: It has been an exceptionally active year in the foreign exchange market as currency volatilities hit record highs. In the first half of the year, everyone was worried about how much further the dollar would fall but in the second half of the year the concern became how much further [...]

Posted in Bernanke, FOMC, Federal Reserve, Forex, Forex News, Forex Technicals, consumer confidence, consumer spending, dollar forecast, dollar rally, forex blog 5 Comments »