By the end of this month, the Federal Reserve will have completed its asset purchase program, bringing its second round of Quantitative Easing to an end. As QE2 draws to a close, it is worthwhile to consider how the dollar could react. When the first round of Quantitative Easing came to an end, [...]

Posted in 2011 dollar forecast, FOMC, Federal Reserve, dollar recession, dollar safe haven, quantitative easing No Comments »

We had a number of surprises in U.S. economic data this morning including the Philly Fed index and leading indicators, but the biggest surprise was definitely the decline in continuing claims. Since the beginning of the year, continuing claims, which measures the number of people continuing to claim unemployment benefits rose week after week, [...]

Posted in 2009 eurusd forecasts, continuing claims recession, dollar recession, euro, forex blog, jobs 6 Comments »

The US dollar is selling off aggressively ahead of Friday’s non-farm payrolls report on the fear that for the second month in a row, job losses may have topped 500k. The recent moves in the currency and equity markets suggest that everyone expects a very weak labor market report. Although the consensus forecast [...]

Posted in 2009 currency forecasts, 2009 us dollar forecast, Fed Rate Cut, Forex News, US Dollar, US Economy, dollar recession, forex blog, non-farm payrolls 4 Comments »

Concerns about the US economy are growing as the Dow Jones Industrial Average erases all of its year to date gains, taking the US dollar down with it. The rally that we have seen in the first few days of trading will be difficult to sustain with all of the weak economic data that [...]

Posted in Currency forecasts, Fed Rate Cut, Forex News, GDP, dollar forecast, dollar recession, forex blog, non-farm payrolls 4 Comments »

With no US economic data on the calendar today, the dollar weakened against every major currency except for the British pound. Trading continues to be very thin with commodities being the only products that are really moving. The tensions in the Middle East have driven oil and gold prices higher. US stocks [...]

Posted in Forex News, dollar recession, eur/usd, forex blog, forex signals 3 Comments »