Over the past 48 hours, the U.S. dollar has come under aggressive selling pressure and I think USD/JPY is set to test its year to date low below 87. Here is a chart of the Dollar Index that shows a break of a major trendline which suggests that the dollar’s weakness will not be [...]

Posted in 2009 japanese yen forecast, dollar record low, euro, forex blog 3 Comments »

Dollar bashing has driven the U.S. dollar to an 11 month low against the Euro and 1 year low against the Australian dollar. If you have caught my interviews on CNBC and Bloomberg, you would know that I have been bearish dollars and bullish Aussies and Euro for the past 2 months. Now [...]

Posted in 2009 eurusd forecasts, 2009 us dollar forecast, Bank of England, British Pound, Gold, dollar record low, eur/usd, forex blog No Comments »

I was on Bloomberg last night talking about the odds of Dollar Reserve diversification and the outlook for the dollar. Click on the image to access the video:

Posted in dollar record low, forex blog No Comments »

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 75bp to a range of 0 to 0.25 percent, the lowest level that this generation has ever seen.
In our FOMC preview, we talked about how the Fed may consider adopting a BoJ style rate cut that takes interest rates somewhere between 0.25 and 0 percent. [...]

Posted in Bernanke, FOMC, FOMC Minutes, Fed Rate Cut, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Federal Reserve, Forex News, Interest rates, US Economy, dollar recession, dollar record low, eur/usd, forex blog, usd/jpy 8 Comments »

US retail sales and producer prices were basically in line with expectations but that does not undermine the fact that the data was very weak and confirms that the Federal Reserve will be cutting interest rates by 75bp next week. USD/JPY hit a 13 year low last night after news that the automaker [...]

Posted in Bernanke, Black Friday, Crude Oil Prices, Fed Rate Cut, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Federal Reserve, Forex News, US Dollar, US Economy, Yen Intervention, consumer spending, dollar rally, dollar record low, eur/gbp, eur/gbp record high, forex blog, retail sales, usd/jpy, usd/jpy intervention, zero interest rates 7 Comments »