Entries Categorized as 'Dow'

How Far Can Bear Market Rallies Extend?

Date March 11, 2009

Stocks rallied significantly yesterday, leading many people to wonder if this is “the bottom” in equities. Given that none of the problems in the U.S. economy have been resolved, I think that this is a bear market rally.
With that in mind, it is interesting to look at how much equities could rebound [...]

Why the Dow Could be Headed Lower

Date February 19, 2009

I read this fascinating study by Barclays Bank this morning on how the performance of the Dow in the month of January can set the tone for trading throughout the year. In the first month of 2009, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 12 percent. According to Barclay’s study, if there is negative [...]

Non-Farm Payrolls Tank But Market Rallies: What Gives?

Date December 5, 2008

The US unemployment rate soared to a 15 year high in the month of November as non-farm payrolls incur the steepest slide in 34 years. Although currencies and equities sold off aggressively following the release of the labor market numbers, they clawed their way back to end the US trading session in positive territory. [...]

How Far Can Stocks Fall?

Date November 20, 2008

With the Dow Jones Industrial Average hitting 5 year lows today, the burning question on everyone’s mind is, how far can stocks fall.
This is a perfect time to republish a post that I wrote in the middle of October titled DJIA: Does the Past Offer Hope?
Here is a very interesting chart published by [...]

DJIA: Does the Past Offer Hope?

Date October 15, 2008

After the horrid US data released this morning, there are plenty of reasons to believe that the equity markets including the Dow Jones Industrial Average are headed lower. We have argued that the next string of GDP reports will finally reflect the recessionary conditions that Americans are already feeling. However in every battle [...]