Signs of stability in the US manufacturing sector has failed to turn around the market’s risk appetite. Although the US dollar has weakened marginally against all of the major currencies, if US stocks continue to sell off, we could see the dollar regain strength.
Will the US government allow GM to fail?
The [...]
Entries Categorized as 'ecb rate cut'
Dollar Hangs Tight on GM Risk, Recession Trades Still On
November 17, 2008
Global Unwind Continues, Paulson Doesn’t Help
November 12, 2008
The global unwind continues this morning with US equities, commodities and currencies taking another beating. The US dollar and Japanese Yen continue to outperform with the British pound hitting a fresh 5 year low.
The story is still the same, which is sell first and ask questions later. It is earnings season and [...]
ECB Disappoints with 50bp Cut, Trichet’s Comments
November 6, 2008
It is the morning for rate cuts with the European Central Bank, Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank all cutting interest rates. On a day when the Bank of England shocked the markets with a 150bp rate cut, the ECB and the SNB’s half point cut seemed very small in comparison.
Every major [...]
What to Expect for the ECB and BoE Rate Decisions
November 5, 2008
European Central Bank: Another 50bp Rate Cut Expected
The biggest event risk this week for the Euro is the European Central Bank interest rate decision. Weak economic data and softer inflationary pressures will force the ECB to take interest rates below 3 percent.
A rate cut will not be a surprise since [...]
Euro Hits 1 Yr Low on Trichet’s Comments: Is He Open to Coordinated Easing?
October 2, 2008
The European Central Bank President has finally buckled under the weight of bank failures, recessions and slower global growth. Although the ECB left interest rates unchanged at 4.25 percent this morning, Trichet has paved the way for an interest rate cut before the end of the year. This has driven the Euro to [...]
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