Central Bank Interest Rate Expectations can and do change based upon economic and market developments. The last time I provided updated CB expectations was in July (yes, I apologize for being tardy) but since then we have seen major changes in investors expect central banks to do this year and next.
Here are the [...]

Posted in Bank of Canada, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, ECB, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Federal Reserve, Reserve Bank of Australia, reserve bank of australia intervention, reserve bank of new zealand 1 Comment »

The latest economic developments have caused investors to push out their rate expectations for all of the major central banks. In May, the ECB, BoC and RBA were all expected to raise rates before the end of the year and now aside from the ECB no one is expected to tighten. Rate expectations [...]

Posted in 2011 british pound forecast, 2011 cad forecast, 2011 dollar forecast, 2011 euro forecast, Australian Dollar, ECB, aud/usd, australian dollar forecast No Comments »

The big focus tomorrow is on ECB President Trichet’s press conference. The European Central Bank is not expected to raise interest rates, but Trichet IS expected to pave the for a rate hike in July. Over the past few years, the words “Strong Vigilance” have been synonymous with “interest rates will be increased next [...]

Posted in 2011 euro forecast, ECB, ecb rate hike, eur/usd No Comments »

- Rates currently at 1.00%
- 25bp rate hike completely priced in for Thurs
- 50bp priced in by June
- 100bp priced in by end of year
The most anticipated event risk this week is the ECB’s monetary policy decision on Thursday and the euro has rallied strongly ahead of the announcement. For the first time in 2 [...]

Posted in ECB, ecb rate hike, eur/usd 4 Comments »

Sorry for the radio silence - have been on vacation then corporate craziness
The euro staged a remarkable rally today after dipping as low as 1.4060 following the U.S. non-farm payrolls release. The resilience of the single currency is incredibly impressive considering that Standard & Poor’s downgraded Ireland’s sovereign debt rating and Fitch warned [...]

Posted in 2010 eurusd forecast, 2010 eurusd forecasts, 2011 euro forecast, ECB, ecb rate hike No Comments »