We are witnessing a very powerful move in USD/JPY ahead of the FOMC rate decision. After falling to a low of 95.11 intraday, the currency pair has recovered all of its losses and then some. USD/JPY is now trading back within the Buy Zone, which i determine using Bollinger Bands with a strong hammer [...]

Posted in FOMC, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Federal Reserve, forex blog, usd/jpy 1 Comment »

Here is an update on central bank rate cut expectations:
Eurozone - 25bp rate cut expected on Thursday
U.K. - No rate cuts for the rest of the year, but watch out for comments on Quantitative Easing
Australia - Rates left unchanged last night. 2.50% expected to be the floor

New Zealand - One more rate cut [...]

Posted in Bank of Canada, Bank of England, ECB, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, forex blog No Comments »

With the Fed’s announcement today, many people may be wondering “How does the Fed print money?” Here is a snippet from my Daily Piece on Currencies.
Most of the time when we say that a central bank “prints money” that does not mean that they actually fire up the electronic version of a printing [...]

Posted in Bernanke, Fed Rate Cut, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, quantitative easing 14 Comments »

The Euro has surged to 1.3157, a six week high against the U.S. dollar. The currency pair’s strength is a big departure from the price action of the other majors currencies this morning, which have weakened across the board. The break of the old highs opens the door for a move above the [...]

Posted in Bernanke, FOMC, Fed Rate Cut, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Federal Reserve, Forex, eur/usd, forex blog 7 Comments »

The biggest event risk this week is tomorrow’s FOMC rate decision and unfortunately the Fed could serve up a big plate of disappointment. Recent economic data has been mixed. The following chart which illustrates how economic data has changed since the January FOMC meeting and we can see that there have been improvements [...]

Posted in FOMC, Fed Rate Cut, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Fed rate hike, Federal Reserve, forex blog 2 Comments »