The New Year has begun and it is important to see what the market is pricing in for central banks this year. As you may know, central bank rate hike expectations change often but as of last week, most central banks are expected to keep monetary policy unchanged in the coming year but one [...]

Posted in Australian Dollar, Bank of Canada, Bank of England, BoE rate cut, ECB, Federal Reserve, Reserve Bank of Australia, forex blog, reserve bank of new zealand 1 Comment »

The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee changes dramatically in 2012. Gone are Evans (the most dovish member of the FOMC), Fisher, Plosser and Kocherlakota (the Trio of hawks) and in comes Lacker, Pianalto, Lockhart and Williams. Three hawks and one dove will now be replaced with three doves and one hawk. We can [...]

Posted in FOMC, FOMC Dove Hawk Scale, Federal Reserve, forex blog No Comments »

We have FOMC and ECB meetings in the next 24 hours. Here’s some info on how economic data has fared since the last meeting.
US: Not Doing So Bad

ECB: Nothing but Weakness, Skirting Recession

Posted in 2010 eurusd forecast, 2010 eurusd forecasts, ECB, Fed Rate Cut, Fed rate hike, Federal Reserve, ecb rate cut No Comments »

I was on the Business News Network this afternoon talking about the outlook for the FOMC meeting. Click on the image to access the video

Posted in Fed Rate Cut, Federal Reserve No Comments »

Central Bank Interest Rate Expectations can and do change based upon economic and market developments. The last time I provided updated CB expectations was in July (yes, I apologize for being tardy) but since then we have seen major changes in investors expect central banks to do this year and next.
Here are the [...]

Posted in Bank of Canada, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, ECB, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Federal Reserve, Reserve Bank of Australia, reserve bank of australia intervention, reserve bank of new zealand 1 Comment »