The Reserve Bank of Australia is gearing up to cut interest rates this evening. The market is currently pricing in 32bp of tightening which means that investors expect the central bank to reduce rates by a minimum of 25bp. 50bp is a possibility but given some signs of improvement in Australia’s economy (jobs [...]

Posted in Australian Dollar, Reserve Bank of Australia, aud/usd, australian dollar forecast No Comments »

RBA meeting coming up. Here’s a table on how the Australian economy performed since the last monetary policy meeting in Feb. As you can see, there has been as much improvement as disappointment but the pullback in manufacturing and service sector activity is particularly worrisome. Market is pricing in 50bp of [...]

Posted in Australian Dollar, Reserve Bank of Australia, reserve bank of australia intervention 2 Comments »

Central banks have been particularly vocal since the beginning of the year, either by expressing their skepticism or satisfaction with the easing of credit conditions and incoming economic data. For some countries, this has changed rate hike expectations, for others it simply confirms existing views. As you may know, central bank rate hike expectations [...]

Posted in Bank of Canada, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of Australia, central bank rate hike expectations, rbnz rate decision, reserve bank of australia intervention, reserve bank of new zealand No Comments »

The New Year has begun and it is important to see what the market is pricing in for central banks this year. As you may know, central bank rate hike expectations change often but as of last week, most central banks are expected to keep monetary policy unchanged in the coming year but one [...]

Posted in Australian Dollar, Bank of Canada, Bank of England, BoE rate cut, ECB, Federal Reserve, Reserve Bank of Australia, forex blog, reserve bank of new zealand 7 Comments »

The Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and the Reserve Bank of Australia have monetary policy meetings scheduled this week and some investors expect these central banks to change monetary policy. Here’s what the market is pricing in according to interest rate futures. You can compare them with the Central Bank expectations back in September. [...]

Posted in 2011 british pound forecast, 2011 cad forecast, 2011 dollar forecast, 2011 euro forecast, Bank of England, ECB, FOMC, Fed Rate Cut, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Reserve Bank of Australia, aud/usd, ecb rate cut, ecb rate hike No Comments »