The New Year has begun and it is important to see what the market is pricing in for central banks this year. As you may know, central bank rate hike expectations change often but as of last week, most central banks are expected to keep monetary policy unchanged in the coming year but one [...]

Posted in Australian Dollar, Bank of Canada, Bank of England, BoE rate cut, ECB, Federal Reserve, Reserve Bank of Australia, forex blog, reserve bank of new zealand 1 Comment »

The Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and the Reserve Bank of Australia have monetary policy meetings scheduled this week and some investors expect these central banks to change monetary policy. Here’s what the market is pricing in according to interest rate futures. You can compare them with the Central Bank expectations back in September. [...]

Posted in 2011 british pound forecast, 2011 cad forecast, 2011 dollar forecast, 2011 euro forecast, Bank of England, ECB, FOMC, Fed Rate Cut, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Reserve Bank of Australia, aud/usd, ecb rate cut, ecb rate hike No Comments »

Central Bank Interest Rate Expectations can and do change based upon economic and market developments. The last time I provided updated CB expectations was in July (yes, I apologize for being tardy) but since then we have seen major changes in investors expect central banks to do this year and next.
Here are the [...]

Posted in Bank of Canada, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, ECB, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Federal Reserve, Reserve Bank of Australia, reserve bank of australia intervention, reserve bank of new zealand 1 Comment »

Even though ECB President Trichet was quite clear last week in signaling that rate hikes are not over, based upon interest rate futures, investors are actually pricing in NO RATE HIKES for the rest of the year and into the first half of 2012.
Since the beginning of the year, the ECB insisted that [...]

Posted in 2011 british pound forecast, 2011 cad forecast, 2011 dollar forecast, 2011 euro forecast, Australian Dollar, Reserve Bank of Australia 2 Comments »

Last night, the Reserve Bank of Australia left interest rates unchanged at 4.75 percent. Many investors were looking for hawkish comments from the central bank but as suspected, the RBA failed to deliver. Given the recent deterioration in economic data (that we showed in our Australian Data Table), I was a bit surprised by [...]

Posted in Australian Dollar, Reserve Bank of Australia, aud/usd, australian dollar forecast 6 Comments »