The U.S. dollar has had an incredible run over the past 2 months, leading many traders to wonder whether the dollar is overvalued. The answer is NO. Based upon purchasing power parity, all of the major currencies are still very overvalued against the U.S. dollar - particularly the Aussie.
What does this [...]

Posted in US Dollar 4 Comments »

I was on Fox Business earlier this afternoon talking about what could turn the dollar around.
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Here is a chart showing how G7/G8 (which is now G20) finance ministers and central bankers meeting has coincided with major tops and bottoms in the EUR/USD. I’ll have more on that soon [...]

Posted in 2009 us dollar forecast, Forex, US Dollar, euro, forex blog, weak dollar earnings 14 Comments »

I was on Fox Business earlier this afternoon talking what is moving the dollar and the short / medium term outlook for the currency market. Here is the clip, I am the first interview.

Posted in 2009 canadian dollar, 2009 currency forecasts, US Dollar, euro oil, forex blog No Comments »

In today’s Financial Times, there is an op-ed article by David Walker, the CEO of the Peter G. Peterson Foundation pondering the possibility of the U.S. losing its prized AAA credit rating. The paper focuses on a warning that was issued by rating agency Moody’s months ago. Moody’s has not issued a new warning, [...]

Posted in US Dollar, US Economy, forex blog 7 Comments »

Comments from RBNZ Governor Bollard this afternoon triggered a sharp sell-off in the New Zealand dollar. After having already cut interest rates by 525bp, he is telling us that the New Zealand economy could still weaken and because of that, he is not happy with the rise in long term yields. So this [...]

Posted in Australian Dollar, Forex Technicals, New Zealand dollar, US Dollar, aud/usd 1 Comment »