Entries Categorized as 'US Dollar'

Outlook for U.S. Dollar, Economic Outlook and Risk Aversion

Date July 7, 2009

I was on Fox Business earlier this afternoon talking what is moving the dollar and the short / medium term outlook for the currency market. Here is the clip, I am the first interview.

Could America Really Lose Its Triple A Rating?

Date May 13, 2009

In today’s Financial Times, there is an op-ed article by David Walker, the CEO of the Peter G. Peterson Foundation pondering the possibility of the U.S. losing its prized AAA credit rating. The paper focuses on a warning that was issued by rating agency Moody’s months ago. Moody’s has not issued a new warning, [...]

AUD/NZD: Further Gains Ahead?

Date March 31, 2009

Comments from RBNZ Governor Bollard this afternoon triggered a sharp sell-off in the New Zealand dollar. After having already cut interest rates by 525bp, he is telling us that the New Zealand economy could still weaken and because of that, he is not happy with the rise in long term yields. So this [...]

January Fed Meeting (FOMC) Preview: What to Expect for the USD

Date January 27, 2009

For the first time since August 2007, the Federal Reserve is not expected to change interest rates. With the fed funds rate now set to a target range of 0 to 0.25 percent, the Federal Reserve has maxed out on their most conventional monetary policy tool. Although they still have different ways of adding [...]

Why December Non-Farm Payrolls Could Rebound

Date January 8, 2009

The US dollar is selling off aggressively ahead of Friday’s non-farm payrolls report on the fear that for the second month in a row, job losses may have topped 500k. The recent moves in the currency and equity markets suggest that everyone expects a very weak labor market report. Although the consensus forecast [...]