Signs of stability in the US manufacturing sector has failed to turn around the market’s risk appetite. Although the US dollar has weakened marginally against all of the major currencies, if US stocks continue to sell off, we could see the dollar regain strength.
Will the US government allow GM to fail?
The [...]

Posted in Bank of England, British Pound, Carry Trades, ECB, Fed Rate Cut, Forex News, US Dollar, consumer spending, coordinated rate cuts, dollar earnings, dollar rally, ecb rate cut, eur/usd, forex blog, g20 meeting dollar, obama dollar, usd/jpy 2 Comments »

In every major bear market, there are relief rallies and that is what we have seen today. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped more than 300 points during the US trading session before reversing violently to end the day up more than 550 points. The major turnaround in equities has forced the US [...]

Posted in Australian Dollar, Bank of England, British Pound, Canadian Dollar, Forex News, Forex Technicals, US Dollar, US Economy, beige book dollar, eur/usd, euro, forex blog, forex trading calendar, retail sales No Comments »

When the labor market is in trouble, the US economy is in trouble. Jobless claims rose 516k last week to the highest level since September 2001. The claims for unemployment benefits was only surpassed in the 2.5 weeks following 9/11.
Extrapolating the jobless claims data to non-farm payrolls and we could see non-farm [...]

Posted in Bernanke, Fed Rate Cut, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, US Dollar, consumer spending, forex blog, jobs No Comments »

When the Bank of England cut interest rates by 150bp last week, I turned aggressively bullish EUR/GBP on the belief that interest rates are headed below 2%. The currency pair has now hit a record high as the market realizes that not only will UK interest rates fall below 2%, but could be headed [...]

Posted in British Pound, US Dollar, forex blog 4 Comments »

Every day, equities, currency and bond traders weigh the good news with the bad to determine if they want to buy or sell.
Today, there were just as many positive reports that should have helped to stabilize the markets but has instead failed to stem the bleeding in equities and currencies.
In a [...]

Posted in Australian Dollar, British Pound, Canadian Dollar, Carry Trades, ECB, Forex News, US Dollar, USD/CAD, currency trading ranges, election dollar, euro oil, forex blog, forex trading calendar, usd/jpy 1 Comment »