The US dollar appears to be unfazed by this morning’s mixed economic data. An improvement in consumer confidence has failed to help the dollar while the weaker news has pretty much been baked into the markets.
Christmas and New Years week is a time when traders are more focused on seeing family than making [...]

Posted in Crude Oil Prices, Forex News, Oil, US Dollar, US Economy, consumer confidence, consumer spending, dollar earnings, dollar recession, forex blog, gas prices, oil dollar, weak dollar earnings 5 Comments »

Tuesday’s FOMC meeting will be remembered for decades to come as the Federal Reserve brings interest rates down to the lowest level this generation has ever seen. With 2 realistic options on the table and economist and traders divided on how much the Fed will cut interest rates, the only certain outcome is significant [...]

Posted in Bernanke, FOMC, Fed Rate Cut, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Federal Reserve, Forex News, US Dollar, forex blog, recession, usd/jpy, weak dollar earnings, zero interest rates 4 Comments »

US retail sales and producer prices were basically in line with expectations but that does not undermine the fact that the data was very weak and confirms that the Federal Reserve will be cutting interest rates by 75bp next week. USD/JPY hit a 13 year low last night after news that the automaker [...]

Posted in Bernanke, Black Friday, Crude Oil Prices, Fed Rate Cut, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Federal Reserve, Forex News, US Dollar, US Economy, Yen Intervention, consumer spending, dollar rally, dollar record low, eur/gbp, eur/gbp record high, forex blog, retail sales, usd/jpy, usd/jpy intervention, zero interest rates 7 Comments »

The US dollar is tanking as jobless claims rise by the largest amount since November 1982, 26 years ago. As I have suspected, it is the 1980s all over again.
This confirms that the 533k drop in non-farm payrolls last month will not be the bottom in the labor market. When claims first [...]

Posted in EURJPY, Fed Rate Cut, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Federal Reserve, Forex News, Japanese Yen, US Dollar, US Economy, US Treasuries, beige book dollar, dollar recession, eur/usd, euro, forex blog, jobs, non-farm payrolls, oil dollar, recession, usd/jpy, zero interest rates 1 Comment »

We are inching closer to a formal bailout plan for the Big 3 automakers and as previously suggested, regardless of the final outcome, the markets will cheer an end to the drawn out drama. The rally in equities this morning have driven major currencies higher against the US dollar and Japanese Yen, but it [...]

Posted in Carry Trades, Fed Rate Cut, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Forex News, Forex Technicals, US Dollar, US Economy, forex blog, retail sales, usd/jpy, zero interest rates No Comments »