In today’s Financial Times, there is an op-ed article by David Walker, the CEO of the Peter G. Peterson Foundation pondering the possibility of the U.S. losing its prized AAA credit rating. The paper focuses on a warning that was issued by rating agency Moody’s months ago. Moody’s has not issued a new warning, [...]

Posted in US Dollar, US Economy, forex blog 8 Comments »

For the first time since August 2007, the Federal Reserve is not expected to change interest rates. With the fed funds rate now set to a target range of 0 to 0.25 percent, the Federal Reserve has maxed out on their most conventional monetary policy tool. Although they still have different ways of adding [...]

Posted in Bernanke, FOMC, Fed Rate Cut, Federal Reserve, US Dollar, US Economy, forex blog 2 Comments »

The US dollar is selling off aggressively ahead of Friday’s non-farm payrolls report on the fear that for the second month in a row, job losses may have topped 500k. The recent moves in the currency and equity markets suggest that everyone expects a very weak labor market report. Although the consensus forecast [...]

Posted in 2009 currency forecasts, 2009 us dollar forecast, Fed Rate Cut, Forex News, US Dollar, US Economy, dollar recession, forex blog, non-farm payrolls 4 Comments »

The US dollar appears to be unfazed by this morning’s mixed economic data. An improvement in consumer confidence has failed to help the dollar while the weaker news has pretty much been baked into the markets.
Christmas and New Years week is a time when traders are more focused on seeing family than making [...]

Posted in Crude Oil Prices, Forex News, Oil, US Dollar, US Economy, consumer confidence, consumer spending, dollar earnings, dollar recession, forex blog, gas prices, oil dollar, weak dollar earnings 5 Comments »

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 75bp to a range of 0 to 0.25 percent, the lowest level that this generation has ever seen.
In our FOMC preview, we talked about how the Fed may consider adopting a BoJ style rate cut that takes interest rates somewhere between 0.25 and 0 percent. [...]

Posted in Bernanke, FOMC, FOMC Minutes, Fed Rate Cut, Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Federal Reserve, Forex News, Interest rates, US Economy, dollar recession, dollar record low, eur/usd, forex blog, usd/jpy 8 Comments »