The biggest event risk this week is undoubtedly the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision on Wednesday. Now more than ever, the Fed’s decision could turnaround the currency and equity markets. Since the last interest rate cut by the central bank on October 8th, the dollar has rallied more than 8 percent and the [...]
Entries Categorized as 'US Economy'
FOMC Preview: Will the Fed Cut 25, 50 or 75bp?
October 28, 2008
Another Failed Attempt at Stabilization
October 27, 2008
After the sharp volatility in the currency and equity markets during the Asian and European trading sessions, the US session was relatively quiet up until the last 10 minutes of trading. For most of the US session, stocks oscillated between positive and negative territory, giving traders hope that we may be finally seeing some [...]
EUR/USD Hits 2 Year Highs, Growing Chance of Coordinated Cuts
October 27, 2008
The US dollar is on steroids this morning as the sell-off in global equities sends the dollar to a 2 year high against the Euro. The EUR/USD is within 3 percent of its fair value of 1.20 while the GBP/USD and USD/JPY are now undervalued on a purchasing power parity basis. However PPPs [...]
G7 Issues Statement on Currencies: All Talk, No Action
October 27, 2008
The G7 released a statement on the Japanese Yen this morning, but unfortunately it is all talk and no action which suggests that the Japanese may have had a hard time convincing their US and European counterparts to join in on any physical intervention to sell Yen.
In this type of market environment, open threats [...]
Dollar Closing In on 5% Targets, Where are the Value Points?
October 24, 2008
The type of moves that we have seen in the currency market during the Asian and European trading sessions are typically what we see in a quarter or a half year. USD/JPY has fallen 5 percent, AUD/USD is down more than 8.5 percent while the NZD/USD is down 7 percent. The sell-off in [...]
Posted in








content rss