US consumer prices dropped 1 percent last month, taking the annualized pace of growth to 3.7 percent, which is the lowest level since October 2007. Falling oil prices takes the credit for lower inflationary pressures with gasoline prices tracking the 50 percent decline in crude. Gas station receipts fell a whopping 14 percent [...]
Entries Categorized as 'US Economy'
Inflation Eases Big Time in US - More Rate Cuts from Fed
November 19, 2008
Is the Currency and Equity Rally a Mirage?
November 13, 2008
In every major bear market, there are relief rallies and that is what we have seen today. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped more than 300 points during the US trading session before reversing violently to end the day up more than 550 points. The major turnaround in equities has forced the US [...]
Why October Non-Farm Payrolls Could Fall by -300K
November 6, 2008
Even though the US economy has not officially entered a recession, the US labor market has.
October will mark the tenth consecutive month of net job losses. The market currently projects a loss of 200k jobs last month, but given the trend of job losses in past recessions, there is a growing chance [...]
FOMC Preview: Will the Fed Cut 25, 50 or 75bp?
October 28, 2008
The biggest event risk this week is undoubtedly the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision on Wednesday. Now more than ever, the Fed’s decision could turnaround the currency and equity markets. Since the last interest rate cut by the central bank on October 8th, the dollar has rallied more than 8 percent and the [...]
Another Failed Attempt at Stabilization
October 27, 2008
After the sharp volatility in the currency and equity markets during the Asian and European trading sessions, the US session was relatively quiet up until the last 10 minutes of trading. For most of the US session, stocks oscillated between positive and negative territory, giving traders hope that we may be finally seeing some [...]
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