The U.S. dollar fell to a 7 month low against the Japanese Yen this morning following another barrage of weak economic data. Consumer prices fell, foreign inflows decreased and the UMich consumer confidence survey dropped to the lowest level since August 2009. On FX360.com, I talked incessantly in my daily report about how [...]

Posted in 2009 japanese yen, 2009 japanese yen forecast, 2009 us dollar forecast, ECB, Japanese Yen, forex blog, usd/jpy, usd/jpy intervention 7 Comments »

Look at this, USD/JPY moving along with 2 year yields. What does this suggest? That next week, USD/JPY could bounce. If payrolls is very weak, that may not happen, but U.S. yields are nearing very low levels and short positions area heavily weighted to USD shorts.

Posted in 2009 japanese yen forecast, forex blog, usd/jpy 5 Comments »

Japan announced a new Prime Minister this morning - Naoto Kan. Hopefully he will have better luck than his 4 predecessors who resigned with only a year or less in service.
Resignations by Prime Ministers can have a significant impact on the country’s currency because its performance reflects investor sentiment. Forex traders typically [...]

Posted in 2009 japanese yen forecast, 2009 us dollar forecast, forex blog, usd/jpy 3 Comments »

USD/JPY is on a tear this morning following the better than expected jobless claims report. I think traders are relieved that the deterioration in the labor market can officially be blamed on Mr. Frosty because jobless claims have reverted back to pre-snow storm levels. Although I am worried by the sharp rise in the number [...]

Posted in 2009 japanese yen, 2009 japanese yen forecast, usd/jpy 3 Comments »

As we begin the second week of trading in September, it is also important for currency traders to know that the performance of the EUR/USD and USD/JPY this month could set the tone for trading for the rest of the year. The following tables compare the performance of the EUR/USD in September with the [...]

Posted in 2009 eurusd forecasts, euro, forex blog, usd/jpy 6 Comments »