FOMC Voters 2012 Dove Hawk Scale

Date January 10, 2012

The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee changes dramatically in 2012. Gone are Evans (the most dovish member of the FOMC), Fisher, Plosser and Kocherlakota (the Trio of hawks) and in comes Lacker, Pianalto, Lockhart and Williams. Three hawks and one dove will now be replaced with three doves and one hawk. We can only imagine what this means for monetary policy in the coming year. Every piece of good data will be looked at with skepticism and the central bank as a whole will be more introduce another round of quantitative easing than to normalize monetary policy.

Here is the updated FOMC Voters Dove Hawk Scale for 2012

Jeremy C. Stein and Jerome H. Powell have been nominated by President Obama to fill the 2 vacant seats on the Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors but they still need to be confirmed by the Senate who do not return to business until Jan 23rd.

Here’s where the current voters stand:

Openly Dovish
Cleveland Fed President Sandra Pianalto

Moderately Dovish
NY Fed President William Dudley
Vice Chair Janet Yellen

Slight Lean towards Dovishness
Fed Board Member Daniel Tarullo
Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke
Fed Board Member Elizabeth Duke
San Francisco Fed President John Williams
Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart

Neutral
Fed Board Member Sarah Raskin

Slightly Hawkish
Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker

Here is the FOMC Rotation for the next few years:

Source for both charts is Fixedincomelive.com

More on this topic (What's this?) Read more on Federal Reserve, Chun YU Works at Wikinvest

Kathy is Getting Married - Returning Jan 9th

Date December 6, 2011

First I want to apologize for being MIA for the past few weeks. Didn’t realize wedding planning would be so tough! But - all is finally done and I am happy to say that I will be getting married on Dec 12th and will then be off for a nice long honeymoon. I will back in the office on Jan 9th and one of my New Year resolutions will be to blog more! I promise!!! In the meantime, I want to wish all of you a wonderful holiday and a happy New Year. See you in 2012!

On CNBC Talking USD, EUR and Favorite Trade

Date November 23, 2011

I was on CNBC this afternoon with Maria Bartiromo talking about the outlook for the USD, EUR and my favorite trade

CNBC - Talking Seasonality and Outlook for EUR

Date November 18, 2011

I was on CNBC Squawk on the Street with Carl, Melissa and Simon this morning talking about my outlook for the euro and seasonality. Here’s the clip:

Bloomberg Interview on Safe Haven Currencies

Date November 10, 2011

I was on Bloomberg Television on Wed afternoon talking about Safe Haven Currencies