British Pound: UK Housing Market Problems Worsen
April 2, 2008
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Last week, I indicate that the British pound could break 2.0 if disaster hits UK mortgage lenders. The currency is now trading below 2.0 against the dollar, but thankfully there has been no disaster.
However, trouble is still brewing for mortgage lenders or banks that have mortgage lending divisions and things are only expected to get worse:
1. First Direct, which is apart of HSBC announced today that they will be withdrawing all of the mortgages to any homeowners who are not existing customers.
2. Standard & Poor’s is also reporting that Lehman Brother’s has stopped writing mortgages to 2 of their UK units.
3. Halifax, the UK’s biggest mortgage lender is expected to follow suit within days.
Being forced to turn away business because you have too many customers should be perceived as a good thing, but unfortunately in the world of mortgage lending in UK, the only reason why First Direct and Halifax are being flooded with new applications is because other lenders like Nationwide gave taken measures to increase the interest rate on loans or withdraw their mortgage lending products completely. If everyone stops providing new mortgages, it could cause the entire UK housing market to freeze up which would be very negative for the British pound.
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April 3rd, 2008 at 11:35 pm
Kathy what I am trying to understand as a GBP bear is why given the looming possibility of a recession in the US would the GBP necessarily be the weaker of the two? I am really trying to understand the co-relation between a particular sector of an economy and the value of the currency. The most I can wrap my mind around is that the only fundamentals that count are those that the most traders with the most money say count. However since I am primarily a technical trader, I am heavily biased.